Metalac GM vs TSC Backa Topola: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Metalac, Gornji Milanovac
The Footlab model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for TSC Backa Topola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalac GM vs TSC Backa Topola?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Metalac GM (1,597) and TSC Backa Topola (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalac GM have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; TSC Backa Topola have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-4 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Javor(home) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Metalac GM win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 TSC Backa Topola win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2021 | TSC Backa Topola 1-2 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Metalac GM 2-4 TSC Backa Topola | Super Liga |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Metalac GM 0-0 TSC Backa Topola | Super Liga |
| Aug 21, 2020 | TSC Backa Topola 2-3 Metalac GM | Super Liga |
| May 5, 2019 | TSC Backa Topola 1-0 Metalac GM | Prva Liga |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Metalac GM 2-5 TSC Backa Topola | Prva Liga |
Last archived meeting: TSC Backa Topola vs Metalac GM on Nov 19, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Metalac GM score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSC Backa Topola score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalac GM | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| TSC Backa Topola | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalac GM sit 14th in Prva Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and TSC Backa Topola sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSC Backa Topola | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 14 | Metalac GM | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalac GM vs TSC Backa Topola?
- The Footlab model makes Metalac GM the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for TSC Backa Topola.
- Where and when is Metalac GM vs TSC Backa Topola played?
- Metalac GM vs TSC Backa Topola is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Metalac, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.