Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, Buzău
The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Ştefăneşti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti?
Metalul Buzău starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,694 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalul Buzău have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ştefăneşti have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(away) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tunari(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dumbrăviţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Bacau(away) | 0-3 | Liga II |
How many goals should we expect?
Metalul Buzău score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ştefăneşti score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalul Buzău | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ştefăneşti | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalul Buzău sit 8th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and Ştefăneşti sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Ştefăneşti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti?
- The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Ştefăneşti.
- Where and when is Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti played?
- Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Chindia TargovistevsAFC Hermannstadt
- Oct 24, 2026MetaloglobusvsCSM Ramnicu Valcea
- Oct 24, 2026FC Politehnica TimisoaravsFC Bacau
- Oct 24, 2026CS AfumativsCSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Oct 24, 2026Unirea SloboziavsConcordia
- Oct 24, 2026Viitorul ŞelimbărvsASA Targu Mures
- Oct 24, 2026CS Dinamo BucureștivsPopești-Leordeni
- Oct 24, 2026Bihor OradeavsCSM Reşiţa