Metro Gallery Sun Source vs Kwai Tsing: result 3-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 16, 2014 at 10:45 AM (UTC)Kwong Fuk Park Football Pitch, Tai Po
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What was the result of Metro Gallery Sun Source vs Kwai Tsing?
Metro Gallery Sun Source won 3-1 on November 16, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Metro Gallery Sun Source have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Kwai Tsing have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2014 | Sun Hei(away) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 26, 2014 | Yau Tsim Mong(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Lucky Mile(home) | 4-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 5, 2014 | Double Flower(away) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2014 | Yau Tsim Mong(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 26, 2014 | Sun Hei(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 19, 2014 | Southern District(away) | 3-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 11, 2014 | Lucky Mile(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Metro Gallery Sun Source score 2.8 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 9; Kwai Tsing score 2.0 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metro Gallery Sun Source | 2.8 | 0.4 | 6 | 3/9 | 5/9 |
| Kwai Tsing | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metro Gallery Sun Source | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 56 | 14 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy