Mexico vs Canada: result 3-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on June 20, 2019 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Canada?
Mexico won 3-1 on June 20, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 40′R. AlvaradoMexico
- 54′A. GuardadoMexico
- 75′L. CavalliniCanada
- 77′A. GuardadoMexico
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Canada have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2019 | Cuba(home) | 7-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 9, 2019 | Ecuador(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2019 | Venezuela(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2019 | Paraguay(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2019 | Chile(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2019 | Martinique(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Mar 24, 2019 | French Guyana(home) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2018 | St. Kitts and Nevis(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Oct 16, 2018 | Dominica(home) | 5-0 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
| Sep 9, 2018 | US Virgin Islands(away) | 8-0 | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mexico win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Canada win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | Mexico 2-0 Canada | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Mar 26, 2016 | Canada 0-3 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Canada score 2.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Canada | 2.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mexico sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (7 points from 3 matches) and Canada sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 1 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy