Mexico vs Costa Rica: result 1-0 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 19, 2015 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Costa Rica?
Mexico won 1-0 on July 19, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 120′A. GuardadoMexico (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Costa Rica have 2, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2015 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 4-4 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 13, 2015 | Guatemala(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 10, 2015 | Cuba(home) | 6-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 19, 2015 | Ecuador(home) | 1-2 | Copa America |
| Jun 15, 2015 | Chile(away) | 3-3 | Copa America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2015 | Canada(away) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 12, 2015 | El Salvador(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 9, 2015 | Jamaica(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 5, 2014 | Netherlands(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 29, 2014 | Greece(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Costa Rica score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Costa Rica | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4 | 4/8 | 3/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mexico sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (7 points from 3 matches) and Costa Rica sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy