Mexico vs Ecuador: result 1-2 and analysis
Copa AmericaGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on June 19, 2015 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Ecuador?
Ecuador won 1-2 on June 19, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 26′M. BolañosEcuador
- 57′E. ValenciaEcuador
- 64′R. JiménezMexico (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ecuador have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2015 | Chile(away) | 3-3 | Copa America |
| Jun 12, 2015 | Bolivia(home) | 0-0 | Copa America |
| Jun 29, 2014 | Netherlands(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2014 | Croatia(away) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2014 | Brazil(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2015 | Bolivia(home) | 2-3 | Copa America |
| Jun 11, 2015 | Chile(away) | 0-2 | Copa America |
| Jun 25, 2014 | France(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 20, 2014 | Honduras(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2014 | Switzerland(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ecuador score 1.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ecuador | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mexico sit 3rd in Copa America (4 points from 3 matches) and Ecuador sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy