Mexico vs Italy: result 1-2 and analysis
Confederations CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on June 16, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Italy?
Italy won 1-2 on June 16, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 27′Andrea PirloItaly
- 34′J. HernándezMexico (pen.)
- 78′M. BalotelliItaly
Official lineup for Mexico vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mexico
- 10Giovani dos Santos Ramírez
- 14J. Hernández
- 6Gerardo Torrado Díez de Bonilla
- 11J. Aquino
- 17J. Zavala
- 18A. Guardado
- 2Francisco Javier Rodríguez Pinedo
- 3C. Salcido
- 15H. Moreno
- 22G. Flores
- 12J. Corona
Italy
- 9M. Balotelli
- 8C. Marchisio
- 16D. De Rossi
- 18Riccardo Montolivo
- 21Andrea Pirlo
- 22Emanuele Giaccherini
- 3G. Chiellini
- 5M. De Sciglio
- 15Andrea Barzagli
- 20I. Abate
- 1G. Buffon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Italy have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2010 | Argentina(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2010 | Uruguay(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2010 | France(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 11, 2010 | South Africa(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain(away) | 0-4 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Germany(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2012 | England(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 14, 2012 | Croatia(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Italy score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Italy | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mexico vs Italy?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy