Mexico vs Italy: result 1-2 and analysis
Confederations CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on June 16, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Italy?
Italy won 1-2 on June 16, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 27′Andrea PirloItaly
- 34′J. HernándezMexico (pen.)
- 78′M. BalotelliItaly
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Italy have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2010 | Argentina(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2010 | Uruguay(home) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2010 | France(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 11, 2010 | South Africa(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2012 | Spain(away) | 0-4 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Germany(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2012 | England(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 14, 2012 | Croatia(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Italy score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Italy | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy