Mexico vs Panama: result 1-0 and analysis
CONCACAF Gold CupFinalKick-off on July 16, 2023 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Panama?
Mexico won 1-0 on July 16, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 88′S. GiménezMexico
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Panama have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2023 | Jamaica(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Costa Rica(home) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 3, 2023 | Qatar(home) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Haiti(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 26, 2023 | Honduras(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2023 | USA(away) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Qatar(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jul 5, 2023 | El Salvador(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Martinique(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 27, 2023 | Costa Rica(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Mexico win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Panama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2023 | Panama 0-1 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Feb 3, 2022 | Mexico 1-0 Panama | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Panama 1-1 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jul 1, 2021 | Mexico 3-0 Panama | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Panama 0-3 Mexico | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 16, 2019 | Mexico 3-1 Panama | CONCACAF Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Panama score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Panama | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mexico sit 1st in CONCACAF Gold Cup (7 points from 3 matches) and Panama sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy