Mexico vs Panama: result 3-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague A - 4Kick-off on October 16, 2019 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Full time
What was the result of Mexico vs Panama?
Mexico won 3-1 on October 16, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 28′R. AlvaradoMexico
- 42′C. SalcedoPanama (o.g.)
- 75′J. MacíasMexico
- 90′R. PizarroMexico
Official lineup for Mexico vs Panama
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mexico
- 22H. Lozano
- 8C. Rodríguez
- 11R. Alvarado
- 16H. Herrera
- 18É. Aguirre
- 20R. Pizarro
- 2N. Araújo
- 3C. Salcedo
- 5A. Mozo
- 17C. Calderón
- 12R. Gudiño
Panama
- 7J. Rodríguez
- 9G. Torres
- 10Y. Bárcenas
- 2F. Palacios
- 6R. Botello
- 8A. Carrasquilla
- 20A. Godoy
- 3A. Ariano
- 4F. Escobar
- 5Román Aureliano Torres Morcillo
- 1L. Mejía
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mexico have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Panama have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | Bermuda(away) | 5-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2019 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 11, 2019 | Argentina(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 7, 2019 | USA(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 8, 2019 | USA(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2019 | Bermuda(home) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2019 | Bermuda(away) | 4-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 30, 2019 | Jamaica(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 27, 2019 | USA(home) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 22, 2019 | Guyana(away) | 4-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Mexico wins, 1 draw, 0 Panama wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2017 | Mexico 1-0 Panama | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 16, 2016 | Panama 0-0 Mexico | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Jul 23, 2015 | Panama 1-2 Mexico | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Mexico score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Panama score 0.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 2.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Panama | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mexico vs Panama?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy