Miami FC vs Lexington: result 1-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on July 12, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)South Dade Kia Field at Pitbull Stadium, Miami, Florida
Full time
What was the result of Miami FC vs Lexington?
Miami FC and Lexington drew 1-1 on July 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′F. BonfiglioMiami FC
- 90′C. BurkeLexington
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miami FC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lexington have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2025 | FC Tulsa(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 0-2 | USL League One Cup |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Detroit City(away) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Charleston Battery(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2025 | Phoenix Rising(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Richmond Kickers(away) | 3-0 | USL League One Cup |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Colorado Springs(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Jun 14, 2025 | New Mexico United(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Monterey Bay(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Miami FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lexington score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lexington | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miami FC sit 8th in USL Championship (17 points from 13 matches) and Lexington sit 8th (15 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lexington | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 31 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 8 | Lexington | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 6, 2025Charleston Battery1-0North Carolina
- Jul 11, 2025North Carolina2-3Birmingham Legion
- Jul 12, 2025Monterey Bay2-1Orange County SC
- Jul 12, 2025Detroit City1-2Hartford Athletic
- Jul 12, 2025Indy Eleven1-0Rhode Island
- Jul 13, 2025FC Tulsa4-3Las Vegas Lights
- Jul 13, 2025New Mexico United1-2Charleston Battery
- Jul 13, 2025San Antonio1-0Tampa Bay Rowdies