Minaur Baia Mare vs Sighetu Marmaţiei: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 8Group 8 - 12Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Viorel Mateianu, Baia Mare
The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sighetu Marmaţiei. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minaur Baia Mare vs Sighetu Marmaţiei?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Minaur Baia Mare (1,598) and Sighetu Marmaţiei (1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minaur Baia Mare have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sighetu Marmaţiei have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Corvinul Hunedoara(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Viitorul Arad(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 1-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Chiesd(away) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Bihorul Beiuş(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 9, 2026 | Unirea Dej(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| May 1, 2026 | Viitorul Cluj(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Minaur Baia Mare win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sighetu Marmaţiei win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sighetu Marmaţiei 1-3 Minaur Baia Mare | Cupa României |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sighetu Marmaţiei 2-2 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Minaur Baia Mare 4-3 Sighetu Marmaţiei | Liga III - Serie 8 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Sighetu Marmaţiei 2-0 Minaur Baia Mare | Cupa României |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Minaur Baia Mare 2-1 Sighetu Marmaţiei | Liga III - Serie 10 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Sighetu Marmaţiei 0-1 Minaur Baia Mare | Liga III - Serie 10 |
Last archived meeting: Sighetu Marmaţiei vs Minaur Baia Mare on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Minaur Baia Mare score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sighetu Marmaţiei score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minaur Baia Mare | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sighetu Marmaţiei | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minaur Baia Mare sit 1st in Liga III - Serie 8 (47 points from 22 matches) and Sighetu Marmaţiei sit 3rd (43 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minaur Baia Mare | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Sighetu Marmaţiei | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minaur Baia Mare vs Sighetu Marmaţiei?
- The Footlab model makes Minaur Baia Mare the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sighetu Marmaţiei.
- Where and when is Minaur Baia Mare vs Sighetu Marmaţiei played?
- Minaur Baia Mare vs Sighetu Marmaţiei is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Viorel Mateianu, in the Liga III - Serie 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.