Minija vs Šiauliai: prediction and stats
A LygaFinalKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, Kretinga
The Footlab AI model makes Šiauliai the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Minija. The most likely score is 1-1. If Šiauliai wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,612 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minija vs Šiauliai?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Minija (1,508) and Šiauliai (1,547).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Minija vs Šiauliai
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Minija
4-3-3- 45K. Aderounmu
- 7Julius Kasparavičius
- 21L. Zingertas
- 6M. A. Sidibe
- 14N. Komissarov
- 9D. Nwegbo
- 43B. Diawara
- 3E. Mockus
- 4M. Diawara
- 5E. Kirjanov
- 2V. Gaudiešius
Šiauliai
4-3-3- 19D. Ikaunieks
- 7N. Garbaliauskas
- 11A. Novikovas
- 24D. Naah
- 23Benny Silva
- 6D. Hasanović
- 33L. Vuković
- 50E. Bierontas
- 5K. Keršys
- 17Harun Hadzibeganovic
- 61G. Baliutavičius
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 05:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minija have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Šiauliai have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 3-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | BFA(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 2-1 | A Lyga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 2-1 | A Lyga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Banga(away) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Minija wins, 1 draw, 4 Šiauliai wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2021 | Šiauliai 2-1 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Minija 1-2 Šiauliai | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Minija 2-2 Šiauliai | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Šiauliai 5-0 Minija | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Minija 0-3 Šiauliai | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Minija score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Šiauliai score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minija | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Šiauliai | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Šiauliai | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 60 | 24 |
A question about Minija vs Šiauliai?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minija vs Šiauliai?
- The Footlab AI model makes Šiauliai the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Minija.
- Where and when is Minija vs Šiauliai played?
- Minija vs Šiauliai is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.