Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II: prediction and stats
National League - NationalChampionship Group - 11Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)David Farrington Park, Wellington
The Footlab AI model makes Miramar the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Wellington Phoenix II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II?
On Elo ratings, Miramar has 1,754 points and Wellington Phoenix II 1,701.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Miramar
Not enough data to predict the Miramar lineup.
Wellington Phoenix II
Not enough data to predict the Wellington Phoenix II lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 11:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Miramar have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Wellington Phoenix II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Tacuarembo(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | La Luz(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Eastern Suburbs(away) | 4-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cerrito(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ferrymead Bays(away) | 0-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(home) | 3-2 | National League - National |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Napier City Rovers(away) | 1-3 | National League - National |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birkenhead United(home) | 0-1 | National League - National |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cashmere Technical(away) | 0-10 | National League - National |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Miramar win, 0 draws, 0 Wellington Phoenix II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Wellington Phoenix II 1-4 Miramar | National League - National |
Last archived meeting: Wellington Phoenix II vs Miramar on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Miramar score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wellington Phoenix II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miramar | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Wellington Phoenix II | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Miramar sit 6th in National League - National (7 points from 4 matches) and Wellington Phoenix II sit 10th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Miramar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Miramar the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Wellington Phoenix II.
- Where and when is Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II played?
- Miramar vs Wellington Phoenix II is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at David Farrington Park, in the National League - National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.