Mirassol vs Gremio: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 4Kick-off on April 16, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo
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What was the result of Mirassol vs Gremio?
Mirassol won 4-1 on April 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′Daniel BorgesMirassol
- 21′ReinaldoMirassol (pen.)
- 78′ReinaldoMirassol
- 83′M. BraithwaiteGremio
- 85′Daniel BorgesMirassol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mirassol have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Gremio have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Bahia(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Corinthians(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-3 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Flamengo(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Atletico Grau(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Ceara(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Sportivo Luqueno(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mirassol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | Mirassol 3-2 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
How many goals should we expect?
Mirassol score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirassol | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Gremio | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mirassol sit 17th in Serie A (23 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 35 | 23 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy