MKT Araz vs Neftçala: result 1-0 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 11, 2011 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Heyd?r ?liyev adina s?h?r stadionu
Full time
What was the result of MKT Araz vs Neftçala?
MKT Araz won 1-0 on December 11, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, MKT Araz have 5 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Neftçala have 4, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2011 | Bakılı(away) | 0-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Karvan(away) | 0-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Şuşa(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Lokomotiv-Biləcəri(away) | 2-6 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Şahdağ(home) | 3-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | Karvan(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Şahdağ(away) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Şuşa(home) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Mugan(away) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 22, 2011 | Lokomotiv-Biləcəri(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
MKT Araz score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 11; Neftçala score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MKT Araz | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/11 | 7/11 |
| Neftçala | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/11 | 4/11 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy