Mlada Boleslav vs Pardubice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lokotrans Aréna, Mladá Boleslav
The Footlab model makes Mlada Boleslav the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Pardubice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mlada Boleslav vs Pardubice?
Mlada Boleslav starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mlada Boleslav have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Pardubice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mlada Boleslav win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Pardubice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pardubice 1-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav 2-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Pardubice 2-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Pardubice 2-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Pardubice 0-3 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mlada Boleslav score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd in Czech Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Pardubice sit 13th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mlada Boleslav vs Pardubice?
- The Footlab model makes Mlada Boleslav the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Pardubice.
- Where and when is Mlada Boleslav vs Pardubice played?
- Mlada Boleslav vs Pardubice is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lokotrans Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.