Moca vs Salcedo: prediction and stats
Liga MayorSemi-finalsKick-off on November 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Salcedo the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Moca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Salcedo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moca vs Salcedo?
Salcedo starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,658).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moca vs Salcedo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moca
Not enough data to predict the Moca lineup.
Salcedo
4-3-3- 11Anyelo Gómez
- 99D. Jamesley
- 7Bryan More
- 26Carlos Rossell
- 19D. Flores
- 18J. Baez
- 90F. Salas
- 17A. Vidal
- 6S. Alba
- 22J. Tejada
- 39F. Marte
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Salcedo have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(away) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Atlántico(home) | 3-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cibao(away) | 1-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Jarabacoa(home) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Universidad O&M(home) | 1-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Cibao(away) | 0-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jarabacoa(home) | 3-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Delfines Del Este(away) | 2-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atlántico(home) | 2-1 | Liga Mayor |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vega Real(away) | 1-0 | Liga Mayor |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Moca win, 2 draws, 3 Salcedo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Salcedo 1-0 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Moca 0-0 Salcedo | Liga Mayor |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Salcedo 1-0 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Moca 0-1 Salcedo | Liga Mayor |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Salcedo 0-2 Moca | Liga Mayor |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Salcedo 2-2 Moca | Liga Mayor |
How many goals should we expect?
Moca score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Salcedo score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moca | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Salcedo | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moca sit 4th in Liga Mayor (17 points from 13 matches) and Salcedo sit 1st (35 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salcedo | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 35 |
| 4 | Moca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
A question about Moca vs Salcedo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moca vs Salcedo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Salcedo the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Moca.
- Where and when is Moca vs Salcedo played?
- Moca vs Salcedo is played on November 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Mayor.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.