Modica vs Vigor Lamezia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 31Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Vigor Lamezia. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Modica vs Vigor Lamezia?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Modica (1,734) and Vigor Lamezia (1,719).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Modica vs Vigor Lamezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Modica
Not enough data to predict the Modica lineup.
Vigor Lamezia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Lamezia lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Modica have 5 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Vigor Lamezia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gela(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Licata(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Milazzo(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Digiesse PraiaTortora(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Siracusa(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Modica score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 12; Vigor Lamezia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modica | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 2/12 | 4/12 |
| Vigor Lamezia | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Modica sit 15th in Serie D - Girone I (7 points from 9 matches) and Vigor Lamezia sit 14th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Vigor Lamezia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
| 15 | Modica | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Modica vs Vigor Lamezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Modica vs Vigor Lamezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Modica the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Vigor Lamezia.
- Where and when is Modica vs Vigor Lamezia played?
- Modica vs Vigor Lamezia is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.