Mogi Mirim vs Vila Nova: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 3Kick-off on July 6, 2013 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Vail Chaves, Mogi Mirim, São Paulo
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What was the result of Mogi Mirim vs Vila Nova?
Mogi Mirim won 1-0 on July 6, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 34′SerginhoMogi Mirim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mogi Mirim have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Vila Nova have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2013 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2012 | CRAC(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 30, 2012 | CRAC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Cianorte(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2013 | Duque de Caxias(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Jun 2, 2013 | Grêmio Barueri(home) | 3-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Brasiliense(away) | 2-4 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Macaé(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Madureira(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Mogi Mirim score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Nova score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogi Mirim | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Vila Nova | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy