MOIK vs Səbail: prediction and stats
Birinci DastaMatchday 8Kick-off on November 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Binə qəsəbə stadionu, Binə
The Footlab AI model makes Səbail the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for MOIK. The most likely score is 1-1. If Səbail wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MOIK vs Səbail?
Səbail starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,623 vs 1,508).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MOIK vs Səbail
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MOIK
4-3-3- RRamil Orucov
- İİ. Əliyev
- EE. Abdullayev
- ÜÜ. İbazadə
- NN. Bayramov
- CC. Tağıyev
- FFərid Abbaslı
- NN. Tamazov
- NN. Qurbanlı
- NN. Əskərov
- ZZ. Əhmədzadə
Səbail
4-3-3- 14S. Allouch
- 22M. Abbasov
- 10David Gomis
- 96İ. Muradov
- 11R. Abdullazadə
- 83N. Quliyev
- 16Emin Rüstəmov
- 20M. Çelik
- 4Marko Nikolić
- 3D. Lytvyn
- 12Ə. Müştəfazadə
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 01:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MOIK have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Səbail have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Zaqatala(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 1-9 | Cup |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(away) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mingəçevir(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Zira(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Şahdağ(away) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Zaqatala(away) | 3-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MOIK win, 1 draw, 4 Səbail wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Səbail 2-2 MOIK | Birinci Dasta |
| Feb 18, 2026 | MOIK 1-0 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Səbail 1-0 MOIK | Birinci Dasta |
| Nov 22, 2022 | MOIK 0-4 Səbail | Cup |
| Feb 11, 2017 | MOIK 0-2 Səbail | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 15, 2016 | Səbail 4-1 MOIK | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
MOIK score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Səbail score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOIK | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Səbail | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
MOIK sit 3rd in Birinci Dasta (14 points from 7 matches) and Səbail sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MOIK | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Səbail | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
A question about MOIK vs Səbail?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MOIK vs Səbail?
- The Footlab AI model makes Səbail the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for MOIK.
- Where and when is MOIK vs Səbail played?
- MOIK vs Səbail is played on November 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Binə qəsəbə stadionu, in the Birinci Dasta.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.