Moldova vs Poland: result 3-2 and analysis
Euro Championship - QualificationQualifying Round - 4Kick-off on June 20, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
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What was the result of Moldova vs Poland?
Moldova won 3-2 on June 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 12′A. MilikPoland
- 34′R. LewandowskiPoland
- 48′I. NicolăescuMoldova
- 79′I. NicolăescuMoldova
- 85′V. BabogloMoldova
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moldova have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Poland have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Albania(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Czechia(home) | 0-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Faroe Islands(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Romania(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Azerbaijan(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2023 | Germany(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Albania(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Czechia(away) | 1-3 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 4, 2022 | France(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Argentina(home) | 0-2 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Moldova score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poland score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Poland | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moldova sit 4th in Euro Championship - Qualification (10 points from 8 matches) and Poland sit 3rd (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy