Molinos El Pirata vs Minas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónPromotion Group - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Mendoza Pizarro, Olmos
The Footlab AI model makes Minas the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Molinos El Pirata. The most likely score is 1-1. If Minas wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molinos El Pirata vs Minas?
Minas starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,581 vs 1,475).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Molinos El Pirata vs Minas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Molinos El Pirata
4-3-3- 25A. Chirinos
- 7B. Cordara
- 8J. Carbajal
- 13L. Carrillo
- 10K. Lugo
- 32M. Suclupe
- 3P. Diez Canseco
- 5H. Hoyos
- 4J. Cánova
- 26J. Rojas
- 12M. Quiroz
Minas
4-3-3- 33Gustavo Leonel Pereira
- 9Y. Mena
- 7D. Ramirez
- 14L. Trujillo
- 8S. López
- 5A. Agurto
- 6M. Delgado
- 12F. Baylon
- 18S. Santibáñez
- 27D. Chávez
- 29Luis Duque
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molinos El Pirata have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Minas have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Union Comercio(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Llacuabamba(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Carlos A. Mannucci(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Academia Cantolao(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Union Comercio(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Santos(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Alianza Universidad(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Molinos El Pirata score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Minas score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molinos El Pirata | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Minas | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Molinos El Pirata sit 4th in Segunda División (25 points from 16 matches) and Minas sit 3rd (25 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Molinos El Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 25 |
A question about Molinos El Pirata vs Minas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molinos El Pirata vs Minas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Minas the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Molinos El Pirata.
- Where and when is Molinos El Pirata vs Minas played?
- Molinos El Pirata vs Minas is played on October 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Mendoza Pizarro, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.