Mons Calpe vs Europa Point: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mons Calpe vs Europa Point?
Mons Calpe starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (1,362 vs 1,085).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mons Calpe have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Europa Point have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Europa(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mons Calpe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Europa Point win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe 2-1 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Europa Point 1-5 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Europa Point 3-3 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Mons Calpe 2-1 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| May 4, 2024 | Mons Calpe 1-2 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Europa Point 1-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Mons Calpe vs Europa Point on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mons Calpe score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Europa Point score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mons Calpe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Europa Point | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Europa Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mons Calpe vs Europa Point?
- The Footlab model makes Mons Calpe the favourite at 64%, against 18% for a draw and 17% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Mons Calpe vs Europa Point played?
- Mons Calpe vs Europa Point is played on March 14, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.