Montalegre vs Águeda: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça de Portugal4th RoundKick-off on November 25, 2018 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
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What was the result of Montalegre vs Águeda?
Montalegre won 1-0 on November 25, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 32′Hidélvis JardimMontalegre (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Águeda have 5, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2018 | Oriental Lisboa(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Peniche(away) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Pedras Salgadas(home) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Pedras Salgadas(away) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2018 | Louletano(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Trancoso(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 3, 2017 | Anadia(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Varzim(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; Águeda score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Águeda | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 3/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy