Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Pobla Mafumet. The most likely score is 1-1. If Montañesa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Montañesa (1,736) and Pobla Mafumet (1,710).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Pobla Mafumet
4-3-3- GGuzmán
- JJuan Barragán
- MMonne
- AAleix Grabulosa
- MManuel Pavon
- AAlbert Querol
- GGerard Urbina
- BB. Hallebeek
- MMarcel Céspedes
- DDavid Montagut
- GGerard Font
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañesa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Pobla Mafumet have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montañesa win, 1 draw, 4 Pobla Mafumet wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Montañesa 0-2 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Pobla Mafumet 0-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Montañesa 2-3 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Pobla Mafumet 1-2 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Montañesa 0-1 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Pobla Mafumet 2-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet on Mar 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Montañesa score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pobla Mafumet score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Pobla Mafumet | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañesa sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (16 points from 9 matches) and Pobla Mafumet sit 6th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montañesa | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Pobla Mafumet | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montañesa the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Pobla Mafumet.
- Where and when is Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet played?
- Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.