Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, Barcelona
The Footlab model makes Montañesa the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Pobla Mafumet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Montañesa (1,714) and Pobla Mafumet (1,704).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañesa have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pobla Mafumet have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vic(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 5, 2024 | Castelldefels(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 1, 2024 | Badalona II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | San Cristóbal(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Grama(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montañesa win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Pobla Mafumet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Montañesa 0-2 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Pobla Mafumet 0-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Montañesa 2-3 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Pobla Mafumet 1-2 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Montañesa 0-1 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Pobla Mafumet 2-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet on Mar 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Montañesa score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pobla Mafumet score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pobla Mafumet | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Montañesa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet?
- The Footlab model makes Montañesa the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Pobla Mafumet.
- Where and when is Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet played?
- Montañesa vs Pobla Mafumet is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.