Monte Azul vs Comercial: result 1-0 and analysis
Paulista - A31st Phase - 11Kick-off on February 26, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Otacília Patrício Arroyo, Monte Azul Paulista, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Monte Azul vs Comercial?
Monte Azul won 1-0 on February 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 47′PedocaMonte Azul
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monte Azul have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Comercial have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | Marília(home) | 3-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Catanduva(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Bandeirante SP(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | USAC(away) | 3-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Francana(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Sertãozinho(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Itapirense(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Catanduva(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Monte Azul win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Comercial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Monte Azul 1-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Comercial 0-0 Monte Azul | Copa Paulista |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Monte Azul 2-1 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Comercial 2-1 Monte Azul | Copa Paulista |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Comercial 1-1 Monte Azul | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Monte Azul 1-1 Comercial | Paulista - A2 |
Last archived meeting: Monte Azul vs Comercial on Sep 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Monte Azul score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monte Azul | 1.5 | 0.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Comercial | 0.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monte Azul sit 1st in Paulista - A3 (30 points from 15 matches) and Comercial sit 16th (11 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monte Azul | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 16 | Comercial | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy