Montenegro vs Gibraltar: result 4-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on March 27, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pod Goricom, Podgorica
Full time
What was the result of Montenegro vs Gibraltar?
Montenegro won 4-1 on March 27, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 25′F. BećirajMontenegro
- 30′R. StycheGibraltar (pen.)
- 43′M. SimićMontenegro
- 52′Ž. TomaševićMontenegro
- 80′S. JovetićMontenegro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montenegro have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gibraltar have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | Latvia(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Cyprus(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Azerbaijan(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Kazakhstan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Luxembourg(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | Norway(home) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Liechtenstein(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2020 | San Marino(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 11, 2020 | Bulgaria(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Liechtenstein(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Montenegro score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gibraltar score 0.4 and concede 2.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro | 1.1 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Gibraltar | 0.4 | 2.7 | 3 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montenegro sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Europe (9 points from 8 matches) and Gibraltar sit 5th (0 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 9 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 28 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy