Monterey Bay vs Miami FC: result 1-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on May 4, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, California
Full time
What was the result of Monterey Bay vs Miami FC?
Monterey Bay and Miami FC drew 1-1 on May 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′I. PaulMonterey Bay
- 87′F. BonfiglioMiami FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterey Bay have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Miami FC have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | New Mexico United(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Lexington(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Colorado Springs(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Detroit City(away) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Apr 2, 2025 | El Farolito(home) | 1-2 | US Open Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Tampa Bay Rowdies(away) | 3-3 | USL League One Cup |
| Apr 19, 2025 | North Carolina(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Indy Eleven(away) | 0-1 | US Open Cup |
| Apr 13, 2025 | San Antonio(away) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Inter Miami II(away) | 1-0 | US Open Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Monterey Bay win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Miami FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2024 | Miami FC 1-0 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Monterey Bay 1-0 Miami FC | USL Championship |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Miami FC 0-0 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Miami FC vs Monterey Bay on Aug 31, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Monterey Bay score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Miami FC score 1.0 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Miami FC | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterey Bay sit 12th in USL Championship (11 points from 13 matches) and Miami FC sit 8th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Miami FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 17 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 40 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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