Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC: result 3-2 and analysis
USL League One CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on June 1, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, California
Full time
What was the result of Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC?
Monterey Bay won 3-2 on June 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′P. GuimaraesOrange County SC
- 35′I. PaulMonterey Bay
- 67′I. PaulMonterey Bay
- 85′A. LarssonMonterey Bay
- 90′C. DunbarOrange County SC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterey Bay have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Orange County SC have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | Spokane Velocity(home) | 1-0 | USL League One Cup |
| May 25, 2025 | Louisville City(home) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
| May 18, 2025 | Phoenix Rising(away) | 0-2 | USL Championship |
| May 10, 2025 | Rhode Island(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| May 4, 2025 | Miami FC(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Colorado Springs(home) | 3-1 | USL Championship |
| May 18, 2025 | New Mexico United(home) | 0-3 | USL Championship |
| May 9, 2025 | North Carolina(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| May 4, 2025 | FC Tulsa(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Las Vegas Lights(home) | 1-3 | USL League One Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Monterey Bay win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Orange County SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Orange County SC 0-3 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Monterey Bay 0-0 Orange County SC | USL Championship |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Orange County SC 2-0 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Monterey Bay 0-1 Orange County SC | USL Championship |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Orange County SC 3-1 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Monterey Bay 1-0 Orange County SC | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Monterey Bay score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Orange County SC score 1.5 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Orange County SC | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterey Bay sit 25th in USL League One Cup (3 points from 4 matches) and Orange County SC sit 42nd (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 42 | Orange County SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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