Monterrey vs Toluca: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 21, 2018 at 02:06 AM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Full time
What was the result of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Monterrey won 2-1 on October 21, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 50′O. GonzálezToluca
- 73′J. GallardoMonterrey
- 85′Daniel LajudMonterrey
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2018 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Puebla(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2018 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Atlas(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Necaxa(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Veracruz(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Monterrey win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | Toluca 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2017 | Monterrey 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2017 | Toluca 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Monterrey 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Monterrey score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Toluca | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterrey sit 5th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy