Monterrey vs Toluca: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 6Kick-off on September 1, 2024 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
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What was the result of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Toluca won 1-2 on September 1, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 6′J. GallardoToluca
- 54′B. VázquezMonterrey (pen.)
- 87′I. ViolanteToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Club Tijuana(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Puebla(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 4, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Austin(home) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Chicago Fire(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Monterrey win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | Monterrey 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Toluca 1-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Monterrey 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Toluca 2-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Monterrey score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterrey sit 5th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy