Monterrey vs Toluca: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 14Kick-off on October 23, 2016 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
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What was the result of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Monterrey and Toluca drew 1-1 on October 23, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 30′Pablo César BarrientosToluca
- 44′D. PabónMonterrey
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Toluca have 5, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(away) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2016 | Don Bosco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Atlas(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2016 | Santos Laguna(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2016 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Necaxa(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Leon(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Monterrey score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/13 | 6/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterrey sit 5th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy