Monterrey vs Toluca: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 1Kick-off on July 29, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
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What was the result of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Monterrey won 3-1 on July 29, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 20′R. Funes MoriMonterrey
- 29′C. RodríguezMonterrey
- 46′A. MedinaToluca
- 85′R. Funes MoriMonterrey
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2020 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 12, 2020 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-0 | Copa MX |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2020 | FC Juarez(away) | 0-2 | Copa MX |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Toluca(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Copa por México |
| Jul 9, 2020 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Copa por México |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Copa por México |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Atlas(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-4 | Copa MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Monterrey win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | Toluca 2-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Toluca 5-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Monterrey 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Toluca 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2017 | Monterrey 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Monterrey score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterrey sit 5th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy