Monterrey vs Toluca: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 1Kick-off on July 29, 2020 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
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What was the result of Monterrey vs Toluca?
Monterrey won 3-1 on July 29, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 20′R. Funes MoriMonterrey
- 29′C. RodríguezMonterrey
- 46′A. MedinaToluca
- 85′R. Funes MoriMonterrey
Official lineup for Monterrey vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Monterrey
4-3-3- 29C. Rodríguez
- 18A. Hurtado
- 7R. Funes Mori
- 8D. Pabón
- 17J. Gallardo
- 5M. Kranevitter
- 16C. Ortiz
- 3C. Montes
- 33S. Medina
- 4N. Sánchez
- 1H. González
Toluca
4-4-2- 13M. Estrada
- 7A. Medina
- 3R. López
- 25A. Canelo
- 16J. Güémez
- 14R. Sambueza
- 8William Fernando da Silva
- 4A. Mora
- 6A. Chalá
- 2G. Sauro
- 22L. García
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterrey have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2020 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 12, 2020 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-0 | Copa MX |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2020 | FC Juarez(away) | 0-2 | Copa MX |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Toluca(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Copa por México |
| Jul 9, 2020 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Copa por México |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Copa por México |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Atlas(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 11, 2020 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-4 | Copa MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Monterrey wins, 0 draws, 3 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | Toluca 2-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Toluca 5-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Monterrey 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Toluca 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2017 | Monterrey 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Monterrey score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterrey sit 10th in Liga MX (14 points from 10 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Monterrey vs Toluca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy