Match

Montigny vs Pontarlier: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

MontignyPontarlier

The Footlab AI model makes Pontarlier the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Montigny. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontarlier wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montigny vs Pontarlier?

On Elo ratings, Montigny has 1,739 points and Pontarlier 1,737.

23%24%53%
Montigny winDrawPontarlier win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Montigny vs Pontarlier

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Montigny

Not enough data to predict the Montigny lineup.

Pontarlier

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Chapit
  2. 20J. Dromard
  3. 15H. Vegran
  1. 6M. Cisse
  2. 11Q. Deniaud
  3. 8A. Mougenel
  1. 3L. Nganioni
  2. 2M. Villemain
  3. 5Xavier Marques
  4. 12V. Revoy
  1. 1L. Buisson

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:40 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

In their last match in all competitions, Montigny have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat; Pontarlier have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montigny
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2021Rapid Symphorinois(home)0-4Cup
Pontarlier
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Strasbourg II(away)0-1National 3 - Group F
May 9, 2026Chalon-sur-Saône(home)1-1National 3 - Group F
Apr 25, 2026Jura Dolois(home)4-2National 3 - Group F
Apr 18, 2026Ivry(away)0-1National 3 - Group F
Apr 11, 2026Racing Besançon(home)0-0National 3 - Group F

How many goals should we expect?

Montigny score 0.0 and concede 4.0 goals per match in their last match; Pontarlier score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montigny0.04.000/11/1
Pontarlier1.00.956/155/15

Over the last match in all competitions.

A question about Montigny vs Pontarlier?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montigny vs Pontarlier?
The Footlab AI model makes Pontarlier the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Montigny.
Where and when is Montigny vs Pontarlier played?
Montigny vs Pontarlier is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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