Montlouis vs Haguenau: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 15Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit, Montlouis-sur-Loire
The Footlab model makes Montlouis the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Haguenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montlouis vs Haguenau?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Montlouis (1,735) and Haguenau (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montlouis have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Haguenau have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chantilly(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bordeaux(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nancy(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Dieppe(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Beauvais(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Montlouis score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Haguenau score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montlouis | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Haguenau | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montlouis sit 11th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Haguenau sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Montlouis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Haguenau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montlouis vs Haguenau?
- The Footlab model makes Montlouis the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Haguenau.
- Where and when is Montlouis vs Haguenau played?
- Montlouis vs Haguenau is played on January 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.