Montrose vs Queen of the South: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Queen of the South. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montrose vs Queen of the South?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Montrose (1,594) and Queen of the South (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Queen of the South have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Clyde(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-5 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Montrose win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Queen of the South win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Queen of the South 2-2 Montrose | League One |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Montrose 3-2 Queen of the South | League One |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Queen of the South 1-0 Montrose | League One |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Montrose 2-1 Queen of the South | League One |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Queen of the South 2-1 Montrose | League One |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Montrose 0-3 Queen of the South | League One |
Last archived meeting: Queen of the South vs Montrose on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| Queen of the South | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montrose sit 8th in League One (3 points from 4 matches) and Queen of the South sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Queen of the South?
- The Footlab model makes Montrose the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Queen of the South.
- Where and when is Montrose vs Queen of the South played?
- Montrose vs Queen of the South is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.