Moralo vs Diocesano: result 4-1 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 19Kick-off on January 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata, Navalmoral de la Mata
Full time
What was the result of Moralo vs Diocesano?
Moralo won 4-1 on January 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 4′567029Moralo
- 45′644681Moralo
- 52′567033Diocesano
- 75′612091Moralo
- 86′H. El YahyaouiMoralo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moralo have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Diocesano have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Don Benito(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Azuaga(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Gévora(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Don Benito(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Santa Amalia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Azuaga(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Moralo win, 1 draw, 4 Diocesano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2025 | Diocesano 4-4 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Moralo 1-2 Diocesano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Diocesano 1-0 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Moralo 0-3 Diocesano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Diocesano 1-0 Moralo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Moralo 3-1 Diocesano | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
How many goals should we expect?
Moralo score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Diocesano score 1.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moralo | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Diocesano | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Moralo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Moralo vs Diocesano?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy