Mordovia Saransk vs Avangard Kursk: result 1-4 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on September 19, 2018 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mordovia Arena, Saransk
Full time
What was the result of Mordovia Saransk vs Avangard Kursk?
Avangard Kursk won 1-4 on September 19, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 11′R. AkbashevAvangard Kursk
- 34′A. TroshechkinAvangard Kursk
- 69′M. ZemskovAvangard Kursk
- 86′M. MarkinMordovia Saransk
- 90′Vadim SteklovAvangard Kursk
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mordovia Saransk have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Avangard Kursk have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2018 | FC Sochi(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | TOM Tomsk(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Luch-Energiya(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Chertanovo Moscow(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Tambov(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2018 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Krasnodar 2(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 1, 2018 | FC Armavir(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Baltika(home) | 0-2 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mordovia Saransk score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avangard Kursk score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mordovia Saransk | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Avangard Kursk | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy