Mordovia Saransk vs Spartak Nalchik: result 1-0 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on October 30, 2016 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mordovia Arena, Saransk
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What was the result of Mordovia Saransk vs Spartak Nalchik?
Mordovia Saransk won 1-0 on October 30, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 89′97564Mordovia Saransk (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mordovia Saransk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Spartak Nalchik have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Zenit 2(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Baltika(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Dynamo(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2016 | Enisey(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | Sibir(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Khimki(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Tambov(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2016 | FC Tosno(home) | 1-1 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mordovia Saransk score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Nalchik score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mordovia Saransk | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Nalchik | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy