Mordovia Saransk vs TOM Tomsk: result 0-1 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on September 8, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mordovia Arena, Saransk
Full time
What was the result of Mordovia Saransk vs TOM Tomsk?
TOM Tomsk won 0-1 on September 8, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 28′A. ShumskikhTOM Tomsk
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mordovia Saransk have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; TOM Tomsk have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2018 | Luch-Energiya(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Chertanovo Moscow(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Tambov(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Tyumen(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2018 | Sibir(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2018 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Krasnodar 2(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2018 | FC Armavir(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2018 | Baltika(home) | 1-1 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mordovia Saransk score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; TOM Tomsk score 1.6 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mordovia Saransk | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| TOM Tomsk | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy