Moreirense vs Estrela: result 4-2 and analysis
Taça da LigaGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 27, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Full time
What was the result of Moreirense vs Estrela?
Moreirense won 4-2 on November 27, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 27′Diogo SalomãoEstrela
- 32′Gonçalo FrancoMoreirense (pen.)
- 45′Fábio PachecoMoreirense
- 49′R. N'doEstrela
- 69′AlanMoreirense
- 83′K. KodisangMoreirense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moreirense have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Estrela have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | Penafiel(away) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 14, 2022 | Tondela(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 10, 2022 | SC Braga(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 5, 2022 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Benfica B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Benfica(home) | 2-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Belenenses(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Vilafranquense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Moreirense score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Estrela | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 13/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy