Moreirense vs Estrela: result 4-2 and analysis
Taça da LigaGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 27, 2022 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Full time
What was the result of Moreirense vs Estrela?
Moreirense won 4-2 on November 27, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 27′Diogo SalomãoEstrela
- 32′Gonçalo FrancoMoreirense (pen.)
- 45′Fábio PachecoMoreirense
- 49′R. N'doEstrela
- 69′AlanMoreirense
- 83′K. KodisangMoreirense
Official lineup for Moreirense vs Estrela
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Moreirense
4-3-3- 31Madson
- 19João Camacho
- 95S. Petkov
- 88Gonçalo Franco
- 11Alan
- 6Fábio Pacheco
- 43Lucas Freitas
- 18Pedro Amador
- 13Luís Rocha
- 42V. García
- 14Mateus Pasinato
Estrela
3-4-3- 77R. N'do
- 20Ronaldo Tavares
- 11Diogo Salomão
- 6Aloísio Souza
- 24L. Fall
- 27Hevertton Santos
- 25K. Shinga
- 80Erivaldo Almeida
- 71Lucão
- 33Rui Correia
- 30Bruno Brígido
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moreirense have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Estrela have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | Penafiel(away) | 2-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 14, 2022 | Tondela(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 10, 2022 | SC Braga(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 5, 2022 | FC Porto B(home) | 3-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Benfica B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2022 | Benfica(home) | 2-3 | Taça da Liga |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Belenenses(away) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Vilafranquense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Moreirense score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Estrela | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1 | 13/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy