Morupule Wanderers vs Tonota: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Serowe Stadium, Serowe
The Footlab AI model makes Morupule Wanderers the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Tonota. The most likely score is 1-1. If Morupule Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,059 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morupule Wanderers vs Tonota?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Morupule Wanderers (1,432) and Tonota (1,388).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morupule Wanderers vs Tonota
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morupule Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Morupule Wanderers lineup.
Tonota
Not enough data to predict the Tonota lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morupule Wanderers have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Tonota have 4, 5 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Nico United(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Extension Gunners(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | BDF XI(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Prisons XI(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Gaborone United(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Orapa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Enesia(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Township Rollers(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Police XI(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sua Flamingoes(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Morupule Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tonota score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morupule Wanderers | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tonota | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3 | 6/9 | 1/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morupule Wanderers sit 11th in Premier League (8 points from 8 matches) and Tonota sit 3rd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tonota | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 17 |
| 11 | Morupule Wanderers | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Morupule Wanderers vs Tonota?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morupule Wanderers vs Tonota?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morupule Wanderers the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Tonota.
- Where and when is Morupule Wanderers vs Tonota played?
- Morupule Wanderers vs Tonota is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Serowe Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.