Mouna vs US Tchologo: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan
The Footlab AI model makes Mouna the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for US Tchologo. The most likely score is 0-0. If Mouna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mouna vs US Tchologo?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Mouna (1,641) and US Tchologo (1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mouna vs US Tchologo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mouna
Not enough data to predict the Mouna lineup.
US Tchologo
Not enough data to predict the US Tchologo lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mouna have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; US Tchologo have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Zoman(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | ES Agboville(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | SOL(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Yamoussoukro(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Stade d'Abidjan(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Adiake(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Korhogo(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San-Pédro(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | ISCA(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Mouna wins, 0 draws, 2 US Tchologo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Mouna 0-1 US Tchologo | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2025 | US Tchologo 1-0 Mouna | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mouna score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; US Tchologo score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mouna | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| US Tchologo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mouna sit 7th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 5 matches) and US Tchologo sit 12th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mouna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | US Tchologo | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Mouna vs US Tchologo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mouna vs US Tchologo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mouna the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for US Tchologo.
- Where and when is Mouna vs US Tchologo played?
- Mouna vs US Tchologo is played on November 6, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Champroux, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.