Moyale Barracks vs MAFCO: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab model makes Moyale Barracks the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for MAFCO. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyale Barracks vs MAFCO?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Moyale Barracks (1,498) and MAFCO (1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyale Barracks have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; MAFCO have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blue Eagles(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Moyale Barracks win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 MAFCO win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2025 | Moyale Barracks 1-1 MAFCO | Super League |
| May 24, 2025 | MAFCO 0-1 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 31, 2024 | MAFCO 1-1 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Moyale Barracks 2-1 MAFCO | Super League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Moyale Barracks 1-1 MAFCO | Super League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | MAFCO 1-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Moyale Barracks vs MAFCO on Aug 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Moyale Barracks score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MAFCO score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| MAFCO | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyale Barracks sit 9th in Super League (18 points from 14 matches) and MAFCO sit 13th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | MAFCO | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | MAFCO | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyale Barracks vs MAFCO?
- The Footlab model makes Moyale Barracks the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for MAFCO.
- Where and when is Moyale Barracks vs MAFCO played?
- Moyale Barracks vs MAFCO is played on February 20, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.