MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Partizán Bardejov: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 7Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión MŠK TESLA Stropkov, Stropkov
The Footlab model makes MSK Tesla Stropkov the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Partizán Bardejov. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Partizán Bardejov?
MSK Tesla Stropkov starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,627 vs 1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MSK Tesla Stropkov have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Partizán Bardejov have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Slovan Sabinov(home) | 3-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vranov nad Topľou(away) | 3-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lokomotíva Košice(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Spišské Podhradie(home) | 6-1 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Lokomotíva Košice(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stará Ľubovňa(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Slovan Giraltovce(away) | 6-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spartak Medzev(home) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slávia TU Košice(away) | 3-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Poprad(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MSK Tesla Stropkov win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Partizán Bardejov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | MSK Tesla Stropkov 3-1 Partizán Bardejov | 3. liga - East |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Partizán Bardejov 2-1 MSK Tesla Stropkov | 3. liga - East |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Partizán Bardejov 2-3 MSK Tesla Stropkov | 3. liga - East |
| Nov 5, 2023 | MSK Tesla Stropkov 4-0 Partizán Bardejov | 3. liga - East |
| Mar 12, 2023 | MSK Tesla Stropkov 2-0 Partizán Bardejov | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Partizán Bardejov 3-0 MSK Tesla Stropkov | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Partizán Bardejov on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
MSK Tesla Stropkov score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Partizán Bardejov score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSK Tesla Stropkov | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Partizán Bardejov | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MSK Tesla Stropkov | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 37 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Partizán Bardejov?
- The Footlab model makes MSK Tesla Stropkov the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Partizán Bardejov.
- Where and when is MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Partizán Bardejov played?
- MSK Tesla Stropkov vs Partizán Bardejov is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión MŠK TESLA Stropkov, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.