Municipal vs Guastatoya: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - 3Kick-off on August 3, 2014 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Trébol, Ciudad de Guatemala
Full time
What was the result of Municipal vs Guastatoya?
Municipal won 2-1 on August 3, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 18′Y. FrancoGuastatoya
- 29′Hamilton Eliezer López GonzalezMunicipal
- 37′M. CallordaMunicipal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Guastatoya have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2014 | Antigua GFC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 20, 2014 | Xelajú(home) | 4-1 | Liga Nacional |
| May 18, 2014 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| May 16, 2014 | Comunicaciones(home) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| May 10, 2014 | Heredia(away) | 3-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2014 | Universidad San Carlos(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 20, 2014 | Deportivo Petapa(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Jun 1, 2014 | Sacachispas(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| May 25, 2014 | Deportivo Petapa(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| May 22, 2014 | Deportivo Petapa(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Guastatoya score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Guastatoya | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Municipal sit 2nd in Liga Nacional (38 points from 22 matches) and Guastatoya sit 7th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 38 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy