Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
The Footlab model makes Brinje-Grosuplje the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Mura. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
Brinje-Grosuplje starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,719 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mura have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Brinje-Grosuplje have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 1-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 2-5 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aluminij(away) | 2-4 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mura(home) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bravo(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Koper(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-3 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Mura win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Brinje-Grosuplje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje 1-2 Mura | 1. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mura score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Brinje-Grosuplje score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mura | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Brinje-Grosuplje | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mura sit 3rd in 1. SNL (1 points from 1 matches) and Brinje-Grosuplje sit 9th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mura | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Mura | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 9 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje?
- The Footlab model makes Brinje-Grosuplje the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Mura.
- Where and when is Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje played?
- Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Mestni Štadion Fazanerija, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.