Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk: prediction and stats
Second League - Final Four3rd PlaceKick-off on November 8, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadion Park 50, Murom
The Footlab AI model makes Khimik Dzerzhinsk the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Murom. The most likely score is 1-1. If Khimik Dzerzhinsk wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Murom (1,736) and Khimik Dzerzhinsk (1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murom
4-4-2- 88R. Bolov
- 9G. Abdullaev
- 22F. Dvoretskov
- 10M. Andreev
- 21E. Teterlev
- 8M. Sedov
- 55Alikadi Saidov
- 4S. Adeniyi
- 77E. Gubiev
- 17I. Nasyrov
- 85N. Zheymo
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Not enough data to predict the Khimik Dzerzhinsk lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murom have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Khimik Dzerzhinsk have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | FK Spartak Tambov(away) | 0-1 | Second League - Final Four |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cherepovets(home) | 2-2 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Spartak Moscow 2(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tver(home) | 0-0 | Second League - Group 2 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Volga Ulyanovsk(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Sevastopol(away) | 2-3 | Second League - Final Four |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Dinamo Barnaul(away) | 2-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Krylya Sovetov II(home) | 3-1 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Akron II(away) | 3-4 | Second League - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod(home) | 5-0 | Second League - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Murom wins, 3 draws, 0 Khimik Dzerzhinsk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Murom 2-1 Khimik Dzerzhinsk | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Murom 2-2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk | Cup |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2-2 Murom | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Oct 24, 2022 | Murom 0-0 Khimik Dzerzhinsk | Second League - Group 2 |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk 1-2 Murom | Cup |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Khimik Dzerzhinsk 1-2 Murom | Second League - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk on Oct 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Murom score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Khimik Dzerzhinsk score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murom | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Khimik Dzerzhinsk | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Khimik Dzerzhinsk the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Murom.
- Where and when is Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk played?
- Murom vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk is played on November 8, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadion Park 50, in the Second League - Final Four.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.