Musselburgh Athletic vs Berwick Rangers: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olivebank Arena, Musselburgh
The Footlab model makes Musselburgh Athletic the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Berwick Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musselburgh Athletic vs Berwick Rangers?
Musselburgh Athletic starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,593 vs 1,457).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musselburgh Athletic have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Berwick Rangers have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bo'ness United(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lochee United(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dunipace(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brechin(away) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Musselburgh Athletic score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musselburgh Athletic | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Berwick Rangers | 1.9 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musselburgh Athletic sit 23rd in Football League - Lowland League (4 points from 5 matches) and Berwick Rangers sit 22nd (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Berwick Rangers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 23 | Musselburgh Athletic | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musselburgh Athletic vs Berwick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Musselburgh Athletic the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Berwick Rangers.
- Where and when is Musselburgh Athletic vs Berwick Rangers played?
- Musselburgh Athletic vs Berwick Rangers is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Olivebank Arena, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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