Mutual vs Citizen AA: result 1-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 21, 2018 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Po Kong Village Road Park 2, Hong Kong
Full time
What was the result of Mutual vs Citizen AA?
Mutual and Citizen AA drew 1-1 on October 21, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mutual have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Citizen AA have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2018 | Shatin(home) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2018 | South China(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Double Flower(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Rangers(away) | 3-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Rangers(away) | 1-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2018 | Resources Capital(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Shatin(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Wong Tai Sin(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 23, 2018 | South China(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Eastern District(home) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mutual win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Citizen AA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2018 | Citizen AA 1-3 Mutual | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Mutual 1-1 Citizen AA | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Mutual score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Citizen AA score 1.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mutual | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Citizen AA | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy